Geelong v Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park
11.14
80
11.4
70
Geelong won by 10 points
IN
Narkle
Miers
Dahlhaus
O'Connor
Selwood
Stewart
Higgins
Ratugolea
OUT
IN
Fullarton
McInerney
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.06 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.34 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.28 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 5.6 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.14 |
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.