Port Adelaide v Melbourne
2022-04-07 19:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

4.12

36

10.8

68

Melbourne won by 32 points

IN

Bergman

Clurey

McKenzie

Skinner

OUT

IN

Lever

Smith

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	18.2	0.38
		82%	20 points	✓	12.0	0.72
		75%	22 points	✓	10.1	0.59
		71%	18 points	✓	13.6	0.51
		71%	25 points	✓	6.5	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	15.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.49
Punters		70%	17 points	✓	14.6	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	13.9	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	16.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	16.7	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	17.0	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	16.2	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.36
		64%	16 points	✓	16.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.35
s10		64%	13 points	✓	19.0	0.35
		61%	9 points	✓	22.5	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	22.5	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	24.0	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	25.5	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	26.0	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	26.0	0.16
		56%	4 points	✓	27.8	0.16
		53%	3 points	✓	28.8	0.09

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.