Essendon v Adelaide
2022-04-10 13:10:00 +10:00
Docklands

15.13

103

15.9

99

Essendon won by 4 points

IN

Zerk-Thatcher

Waterman

Snelling

Stringer

Stewart

Cutler

OUT

IN

Walker

Sloane

Fogarty

Cook

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		65%	15 points	✓	10.7	0.39
		81%	27 points	✓	23.0	0.70
		78%	29 points	✓	25.0	0.64
		75%	23 points	✓	19.0	0.59
		74%	24 points	✓	20.4	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.54
		72%	21 points	✓	17.0	0.52
		70%	19 points	✓	15.0	0.49
		68%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.44
		67%	19 points	✓	15.0	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	11.0	0.41
s10		66%	16 points	✓	12.1	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	9.2	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	11.4	0.37
		64%	17 points	✓	12.6	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	7.3	0.32
		63%	11 points	✓	6.5	0.32
		62%	9 points	✓	5.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	6.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	5.2	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	4.6	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	5.3	0.24
Punters		59%	8 points	✓	4.0	0.24
		56%	6 points	✓	2.0	0.16
		56%	6 points	✓	1.7	0.16
		51%	2 points	✓	2.5	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.