Richmond v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
15.9
99
7.19
61
Richmond won by 38 points
IN
Miller
Prestia
Riewoldt
Grimes
Ross
Soldo
OUT
IN
Butler
McNeil
O'Brien
Williams
Keath
Cordy
Hannan
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.45 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.92 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 55.2 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 53.2 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 52.7 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 52.2 | -0.59 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 52.6 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 53.7 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.52 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 50.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 16 points | ✗ | 53.9 | -0.43 |
|
s10
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 14 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 43.5 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 39.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 37.5 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.