Fremantle v Greater Western Sydney
2022-04-09 19:25:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

13.10

88

8.6

54

Fremantle won by 34 points

IN

Logue

Darcy

Mundy

Tucker

Pearce

Meek

OUT

IN

Riccardi

Haynes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	28.8	0.15
		70%	25 points	✓	8.8	0.49
		68%	16 points	✓	18.3	0.43
		65%	12 points	✓	22.2	0.37
		63%	12 points	✓	21.9	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	25.0	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	25.0	0.29
		59%	10 points	✓	24.5	0.25
s10		58%	8 points	✓	26.0	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	27.0	0.21
Punters		58%	6 points	✓	28.3	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	26.6	0.20
		56%	5 points	✓	29.0	0.17
		55%	5 points	✓	29.4	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	30.0	0.14
		55%	3 points	✓	31.5	0.12
		53%	3 points	✓	31.0	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	32.0	0.07
		52%	1 point	✓	33.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	33.0	0.03
		50%	1 point	✓	33.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	35.0	-0.03
		51%	1 point	✗	35.0	-0.04
		53%	3 points	✗	37.0	-0.09
		55%	1 point	✗	35.0	-0.14
		57%	7 points	✗	40.5	-0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.