Melbourne v Gold Coast
2018-08-05 15:20:00
M.C.G.

21.17

143

7.5

47

Match complete
Melbourne won by 96 points

IN

vandenBerg

Melksham

OUT

IN

Dawson

Spencer

Leslie

Hanley

Ah Chee

Lyons

May

Swallow

Joyce

Thompson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		91%	53 points	✓	43.1	0.86
		98%	69 points	✓	26.9	0.97
		97%	54 points	✓	42.0	0.95
		96%	60 points	✓	35.8	0.93
		95%	61 points	✓	35.0	0.93
		95%	62 points	✓	34.0	0.93
Punters		93%		✓		0.90
		92%	50 points	✓	46.0	0.88
		91%	50 points	✓	46.0	0.87
		91%	66 points	✓	30.0	0.86
		89%	45 points	✓	51.0	0.83
		82%	38 points	✓	58.0	0.71
		73%	27 points	✓	69.0	0.54

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.