Adelaide v Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
13.18
96
14.9
93
Match complete
Adelaide won by 3 points
IN
Ellis-Yolmen
Doedee
Mackay
Smith
Seedsman
Kelly
McGovern
Cheney
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.1 | -0.10 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.3 | -0.30 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.21 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.13 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.12 |
| Punters | |
54% | ✗ | -0.11 | ||
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.05 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.