Adelaide v Port Adelaide

Adelaide Oval

96

93

Match complete
Adelaide won by 3 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 6.1-0.10
Port Adelaide
59% 8 points 11.3-0.30
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 9.0-0.21
Port Adelaide
56% 6 points 9.0-0.19
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 8.0-0.15
Port Adelaide
54% 5 points 8.0-0.12
Port Adelaide
54% 4 points 7.0-0.13
Punters
Port Adelaide
54% -0.11
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 6.0-0.07
Port Adelaide
52% 2 points 5.0-0.06
Adelaide
51% 1 point 2.00.02
Adelaide
52% 2 points 1.00.05
Adelaide
52% 2 points 1.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018