Adelaide v Port Adelaide

Adelaide Oval

96

93

Match complete
Adelaide won by 3 points

IN
Ellis-Yolmen
Doedee
Mackay
Smith
Seedsman
Kelly
McGovern
Cheney
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 6.1-0.10
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
59% 8 points 11.3-0.30
HPN
Port Adelaide
57% 6 points 9.0-0.21
Graft
Port Adelaide
56% 6 points 9.0-0.19
Swinburne
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 8.0-0.15
The Arc
Port Adelaide
54% 4 points 7.0-0.13
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
54% 5 points 8.0-0.12
Punters
Port Adelaide
54% -0.11
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
53% 3 points 6.0-0.07
Stattraction
Port Adelaide
52% 2 points 5.0-0.06
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
51% 1 point 2.00.02
Live Ladders
Adelaide
52% 2 points 1.00.05
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
52% 2 points 1.00.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018