Carlton v Greater Western Sydney
2018-08-05 13:10:00
Docklands

7.4

46

23.13

151

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 105 points

IN

O'Shea

Graham

Weitering

Silvagni

OUT

IN

Bonar

de Boer

Cameron

Shiel

Taranto

Reid

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		80%	31 points	✓	73.6	0.67
		91%	51 points	✓	54.0	0.86
		91%	40 points	✓	65.0	0.86
		89%	44 points	✓	60.6	0.84
Punters		88%		✓		0.81
		80%	33 points	✓	71.5	0.68
		78%	28 points	✓	77.0	0.65
		77%	26 points	✓	79.0	0.63
		75%	29 points	✓	76.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	82.0	0.57
		73%	31 points	✓	74.0	0.55
		71%	19 points	✓	86.0	0.50
		70%	21 points	✓	84.0	0.49

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.