Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne
Gabba
16.8
104
16.11
107
Match complete
North Melbourne won by 3 points
IN
Starcevich
Bastinac
Lester
Barrett
OUT
IN
Waite
Higgins
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 50% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.00 | |
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.17 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.11 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.05 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.03 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.08 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.09 | ||
Punters | 54% | ✗ | -0.12 | |||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.15 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.