Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne

Gabba

104

107

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 3 points

IN
Starcevich
Bastinac
Lester
Barrett
OUT
IN
Waite
Higgins
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
North Melbourne
50% 1 point 2.50.00
PlusSixOne
North Melbourne
56% 6 points 3.00.17
Massey Ratings
North Melbourne
54% 4 points 1.00.11
Stattraction
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 0.00.08
HPN
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 1.00.06
Swinburne
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 1.00.06
Squiggle
North Melbourne
52% 1 point 2.50.05
Footy Maths Institute
North Melbourne
51% 2 points 1.00.03
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 6.0-0.08
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
53% 2 points 5.0-0.09
Punters
Brisbane Lions
54% -0.12
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 6.7-0.15
Graft
Brisbane Lions
55% 5 points 8.0-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018