Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne

Gabba

104

107

Match complete
North Melbourne won by 3 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
North Melbourne
50% 1 point 2.50.00
North Melbourne
56% 6 points 3.00.17
North Melbourne
54% 4 points 1.00.11
North Melbourne
53% 3 points 0.00.08
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 1.00.06
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 1.00.06
North Melbourne
52% 1 point 2.50.05
North Melbourne
51% 2 points 1.00.03
Brisbane Lions
53% 2 points 5.0-0.09
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 6.0-0.08
Punters
Brisbane Lions
54% -0.12
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 6.7-0.15
Brisbane Lions
55% 5 points 8.0-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018