Hawthorn v Essendon

M.C.G.

107

103

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 4 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
55% 6 points 1.70.15
Hawthorn
72% 23 points 19.00.53
Hawthorn
66% 13 points 9.00.40
Hawthorn
61% 11 points 7.00.28
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 2.00.19
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 2.00.19
Hawthorn
54% 5 points 1.00.11
Hawthorn
53% 2 points 2.30.08
Hawthorn
51% 0 points 4.00.03
Essendon
50% 0 points 4.0-0.01
Essendon
51% 2 points 5.5-0.03
Essendon
52% 2 points 6.0-0.06
Punters
Essendon
53% -0.09

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018