Hawthorn v Essendon
M.C.G.
16.11
107
16.7
103
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 4 points
IN
Morrison
O'Rourke
OUT
IN
McNiece
Colyer
Dea
Guelfi
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.15 |
 |
|
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.53 |
 |
|
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.40 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.08 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.03 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.03 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.06 |
| Punters | |
53% | ✗ | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.