Richmond v Geelong

M.C.G.

85

82

Match complete
Richmond won by 3 points

IN
Menadue
Lloyd
Prestia
Broad
OUT
IN
Abbott
Jones
Thurlow
Stanley
Stewart
Narkle
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
68% 18 points 14.90.45
Live Ladders
Richmond
79% 28 points 25.00.66
Matter of Stats
Richmond
78% 27 points 23.50.65
Massey Ratings
Richmond
77% 23 points 20.00.63
Swinburne
Richmond
75% 24 points 21.00.58
Squiggle
Richmond
75% 26 points 23.30.58
The Arc
Richmond
67% 15 points 12.00.42
Punters
Richmond
67% 0.42
HPN
Richmond
65% 14 points 11.00.39
Stattraction
Richmond
64% 15 points 12.00.37
Footy Maths Institute
Richmond
59% 12 points 9.00.24
Graft
Richmond
58% 8 points 5.00.22
PlusSixOne
Richmond
54% 5 points 2.00.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018