Richmond v Geelong
M.C.G.
12.13
85
12.10
82
Match complete
Richmond won by 3 points
IN
Menadue
Lloyd
Prestia
Broad
OUT
IN
Abbott
Jones
Thurlow
Stanley
Stewart
Narkle
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 68% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.45 | |
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.66 | ||
78% | 27 points | ✓ | 23.5 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 23 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.63 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.58 | ||
75% | 26 points | ✓ | 23.3 | 0.58 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.42 | ||
Punters | 67% | ✓ | 0.42 | |||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.39 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.37 | ||
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.24 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.22 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.