Richmond v Geelong

M.C.G.

85

82

Match complete
Richmond won by 3 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
68% 18 points 14.90.45
Richmond
79% 28 points 25.00.66
Richmond
78% 27 points 23.50.65
Richmond
77% 23 points 20.00.63
Richmond
75% 26 points 23.30.58
Richmond
75% 24 points 21.00.58
Richmond
67% 15 points 12.00.42
Punters
Richmond
67% 0.42
Richmond
65% 14 points 11.00.39
Richmond
64% 15 points 12.00.37
Richmond
59% 12 points 9.00.24
Richmond
58% 8 points 5.00.22
Richmond
54% 5 points 2.00.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2018