Fremantle v Sydney
Perth Stadium
12.14
86
13.6
84
Fremantle won by 2 points
IN
Treacy
Ryan
Brayshaw
Duman
OUT
IN
Stephens
McInerney
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.27 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.10 |
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.3 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.18 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.