Brisbane Lions v Richmond
2021-05-21 19:50:00
Gabba

15.12

102

11.8

74

Brisbane Lions won by 28 points

IN

Madden

Coleman

Gardiner

Lester

OUT

IN

Ross

Mansell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	13 points	✓	14.6	0.37
		77%	25 points	✓	3.0	0.62
		71%	18 points	✓	9.7	0.50
Punters		69%	18 points	✓	10.5	0.47
		68%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.45
		68%	14 points	✓	13.7	0.44
		68%	13 points	✓	15.5	0.43
		67%	18 points	✓	9.7	0.43
s10		65%	13 points	✓	14.6	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	14.0	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.37
		63%	11 points	✓	16.6	0.32
		62%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.31
		61%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	17.3	0.28
		57%	6 points	✓	22.1	0.20
		55%	5 points	✓	23.2	0.13
		54%	6 points	✓	22.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.