Geelong v Gold Coast
Kardinia Park
14.7
91
8.9
57
Geelong won by 34 points
IN
Kolodjashnij
Dahlhaus
Clark
Guthrie
OUT
IN
Smith
Holman
Sexton
Miller
Bowes
Ainsworth
Farrar
Rosas
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
84% | 37 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.74 | |
92% | 51 points | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.88 | ||
90% | 54 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.85 | ||
Punters
|
89% | 43 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.83 | |
88% | 40 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.82 | ||
88% | 45 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.82 | ||
88% | 40 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.81 | ||
86% | 37 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.79 | ||
84% | 26 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.74 | ||
83% | 28 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.73 | ||
83% | 31 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.72 | ||
82% | 45 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.71 | ||
s10
|
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.71 | |
80% | 29 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 35 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.67 | ||
78% | 35 points | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.65 | ||
75% | 25 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 26 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.57 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.