Collingwood v Port Adelaide
2021-05-23 15:20:00
M.C.G.

8.10

58

8.11

59

Port Adelaide won by 1 point

IN

Roughead

Adams

Keane

Henry

OUT

IN

Jones

McKenzie

Houston

Clurey

Fantasia

Bergman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	11.5	0.34
		80%	28 points	✓	27.0	0.68
		72%	23 points	✓	21.8	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	16.0	0.49
		70%	21 points	✓	20.0	0.49
		68%	17 points	✓	16.2	0.43
		66%	15 points	✓	14.0	0.41
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	12.4	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	10.5	0.35
		64%	11 points	✓	9.5	0.34
		61%	11 points	✓	10.0	0.29
		61%	9 points	✓	8.0	0.28
		60%	14 points	✓	13.0	0.26
s10		59%	8 points	✓	7.0	0.24
		54%	3 points	✓	1.9	0.11
		54%	4 points	✓	2.9	0.11
		52%	2 points	✓	1.1	0.06
		50%	0 points	✓	0.9	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.