Collingwood v Port Adelaide
M.C.G.
8.10
58
8.11
59
Port Adelaide won by 1 point
IN
Roughead
Adams
Keane
Henry
OUT
IN
Jones
McKenzie
Houston
Clurey
Fantasia
Bergman
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.34 | |
80% | 28 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.68 | ||
72% | 23 points | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.52 | ||
70% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.49 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.2 | 0.43 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.41 | ||
Punters
|
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.37 | |
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.34 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.26 | ||
s10
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.24 | |
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.06 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.00 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.