Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
15.6
96
14.11
95
Adelaide won by 1 point
IN
Murray
McHenry
Walker
Hamill
Frampton
O'Connor
OUT
IN
Jetta
Jackson
Melksham
Salem
Brown
Chandler
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
72% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.86 |
|
|
83% | 35 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.56 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 28.4 | -1.26 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -1.26 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -1.15 |
|
Punters
|
|
77% | 24 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -1.09 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 26 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
73% | 24 points | ✗ | 24.8 | -0.86 |
|
|
71% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.80 |
|
s10
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 22 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 23 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.