Adelaide v Melbourne

Adelaide Oval
15.6
96
14.11
95

Adelaide won by 1 point

IN
Murray
McHenry
Walker
Hamill
Frampton
O'Connor
OUT
IN
Jetta
Jackson
Melksham
Salem
Brown
Chandler
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
72% 22 points 23.0-0.86
Cheap Stats
Melbourne
83% 35 points 36.0-1.56
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
79% 27 points 28.4-1.26
Glicko Ratings
Melbourne
79% 27 points 27.7-1.26
Graft
Melbourne
78% 27 points 28.0-1.15
Punters
Melbourne
77% 24 points 25.1-1.09
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
75% 22 points 22.5-0.97
The Flag
Melbourne
74% 22 points 23.0-0.97
ZaphBot
Melbourne
74% 26 points 27.0-0.94
Stattraction
Melbourne
73% 24 points 24.8-0.86
The Cruncher
Melbourne
71% 22 points 23.2-0.80
s10
Melbourne
70% 19 points 20.2-0.75
Squiggle
Melbourne
70% 22 points 22.8-0.73
AFLalytics
Melbourne
69% 17 points 17.6-0.69
Live Ladders
Melbourne
68% 16 points 17.0-0.66
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
68% 23 points 24.0-0.64
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
61% 12 points 12.6-0.37
AFL Lab
Melbourne
60% 7 points 8.4-0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2021