Carlton v Hawthorn
2021-05-22 13:45:00
M.C.G.

13.8

86

9.9

63

Carlton won by 23 points

IN

De Koning

Silvagni

Gibbons

Casboult

Cuningham

Parks

OUT

IN

Reeves

Greaves

Howe

Shiels

O'Brien

Hartley

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	6.0	0.44
		78%	33 points	✓	9.9	0.64
		77%	25 points	✓	2.0	0.63
		74%	21 points	✓	1.9	0.56
		74%	19 points	✓	3.6	0.56
		73%	19 points	✓	4.0	0.54
Punters		72%	20 points	✓	3.5	0.52
		71%	17 points	✓	6.5	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	6.0	0.49
s10		69%	18 points	✓	5.4	0.47
		69%	23 points	✓	0.0	0.46
		68%	20 points	✓	3.0	0.44
		68%	17 points	✓	6.0	0.43
		63%	11 points	✓	12.1	0.34
		60%	14 points	✓	9.0	0.26
		60%	10 points	✓	13.4	0.25
		56%	6 points	✓	16.8	0.15
		51%	1 point	✓	22.0	0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.