Carlton v Hawthorn

M.C.G.
13.8
86
9.9
63

Carlton won by 23 points

IN
De Koning
Silvagni
Gibbons
Casboult
Cuningham
Parks
OUT
IN
Reeves
Greaves
Howe
Shiels
O'Brien
Hartley
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Carlton
68% 17 points 6.00.44
Squiggle
Carlton
78% 33 points 9.90.64
The Flag
Carlton
77% 25 points 2.00.63
Matter of Stats
Carlton
74% 21 points 1.90.56
AFL Lab
Carlton
74% 19 points 3.60.56
AFLalytics
Carlton
73% 19 points 4.00.54
Punters
Carlton
72% 20 points 3.50.52
Massey Ratings
Carlton
71% 17 points 6.50.50
Live Ladders
Carlton
70% 17 points 6.00.49
s10
Carlton
69% 18 points 5.40.47
Cheap Stats
Carlton
69% 23 points 0.00.46
ZaphBot
Carlton
68% 20 points 3.00.44
Graft
Carlton
68% 17 points 6.00.43
Glicko Ratings
Carlton
63% 11 points 12.10.34
Footy Maths Institute
Carlton
60% 14 points 9.00.26
PlusSixOne
Carlton
60% 10 points 13.40.25
Stattraction
Carlton
56% 6 points 16.80.15
The Cruncher
Carlton
51% 1 point 22.00.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 10, 2021