St Kilda v Sydney
Gabba
15.11
101
6.12
48
St Kilda won by 53 points
IN
Battle
Savage
Ross
Kent
OUT
IN
Hayward
Stephens
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 43.1 | 0.33 | |
77% | 20 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.63 | ||
74% | 15 points | ✓ | 37.9 | 0.57 | ||
Punters
|
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 37.9 | 0.47 | |
68% | 20 points | ✓ | 32.8 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 10 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.44 | ||
s10
|
66% | 12 points | ✓ | 40.7 | 0.39 | |
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.34 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 41.9 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 46.1 | 0.26 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 47.4 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 2 points | ✓ | 50.6 | 0.20 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.