Melbourne v Port Adelaide
Gabba
4.8
32
12.11
83
Port Adelaide won by 51 points
IN
Sparrow
McDonald
Jetta
Bennell
OUT
IN
Lienert
Rockliff
Bonner
Marshall
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 41.6 | 0.29 | |
72% | 13 points | ✓ | 38.2 | 0.52 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 37.8 | 0.41 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.41 | ||
64% | 16 points | ✓ | 35.4 | 0.37 | ||
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 42.8 | 0.29 | ||
s10
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 41.5 | 0.29 | |
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.26 | ||
60% | 6 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.26 | ||
Punters
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 44.5 | 0.22 | |
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 45.6 | 0.19 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.