Melbourne v Port Adelaide
2020-07-30 19:50:00
Gabba

4.8

32

12.11

83

Port Adelaide won by 51 points

IN

Sparrow

McDonald

Jetta

Bennell

OUT

IN

Lienert

Rockliff

Bonner

Marshall

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		61%	9 points	✓	41.6	0.29
		72%	13 points	✓	38.2	0.52
		66%	13 points	✓	37.8	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	38.0	0.41
		64%	16 points	✓	35.4	0.37
		62%	16 points	✓	35.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	41.0	0.31
		61%	8 points	✓	42.8	0.29
s10		61%	9 points	✓	41.5	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	42.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	43.0	0.26
		60%	6 points	✓	45.0	0.26
Punters		58%	7 points	✓	44.5	0.22
		57%	5 points	✓	45.6	0.19
		54%	4 points	✓	47.0	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	47.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.