Carlton v Hawthorn
Perth Stadium
9.4
58
14.5
89
Hawthorn won by 31 points
IN
McKay
McGovern
OUT
IN
O'Brien
Impey
Ceglar
Breust
Lewis
Minchington
Morris
Brooksby
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.01 |
|
|
65% | 10 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.8 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 30.1 | 0.03 |
|
s10
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 30.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 29.1 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 28.1 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
59% | 3 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.