North Melbourne v Adelaide
Carrara
19.5
119
7.8
50
North Melbourne won by 69 points
IN
Bonar
Daw
Polec
Brown
OUT
IN
Strachan
Knight
Gibbs
Kelly
Atkins
Walker
Crouch
Mackay
Doedee
McAsey
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 56.2 | 0.40 | |
81% | 14 points | ✓ | 55.4 | 0.69 | ||
75% | 20 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.58 | ||
70% | 14 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 14 points | ✓ | 54.8 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 11 points | ✓ | 57.9 | 0.44 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 57.6 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.36 | ||
Punters
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 56.7 | 0.35 | |
s10
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 57.7 | 0.35 | |
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.32 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 59.7 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.