Essendon v Brisbane Lions
Carrara
3.10
28
14.7
91
Brisbane Lions won by 63 points
IN
Draper
Stewart
Zerk-Thatcher
Cutler
Shiel
Langford
McKenna
McKernan
Laverde
Hibberd
OUT
IN
Skinner
Ballenden
Answerth
Witherden
Ellis-Yolmen
Rich
McStay
Lester
Berry
Smith
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 48.2 | 0.44 | |
77% | 23 points | ✓ | 40.4 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 24 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.60 | ||
Punters
|
74% | 19 points | ✓ | 43.8 | 0.57 | |
73% | 18 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.55 | ||
71% | 24 points | ✓ | 39.1 | 0.51 | ||
s10
|
70% | 17 points | ✓ | 45.9 | 0.49 | |
70% | 15 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 15 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 12 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 6 points | ✓ | 57.4 | 0.45 | ||
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 49.5 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.42 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 53.4 | 0.25 | ||
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.24 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.