Essendon v Brisbane Lions
2020-07-31 20:10:00
Carrara

3.10

28

14.7

91

Brisbane Lions won by 63 points

IN

Draper

Stewart

Zerk-Thatcher

Cutler

Shiel

Langford

McKenna

McKernan

Laverde

Hibberd

OUT

IN

Skinner

Ballenden

Answerth

Witherden

Ellis-Yolmen

Rich

McStay

Lester

Berry

Smith

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		68%	15 points	✓	48.2	0.44
		77%	23 points	✓	40.4	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	39.0	0.60
Punters		74%	19 points	✓	43.8	0.57
		73%	18 points	✓	45.0	0.55
		71%	24 points	✓	39.1	0.51
s10		70%	17 points	✓	45.9	0.49
		70%	15 points	✓	48.0	0.48
		69%	15 points	✓	48.0	0.46
		68%	12 points	✓	51.0	0.45
		68%	6 points	✓	57.4	0.45
		67%	13 points	✓	49.5	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	49.0	0.42
		60%	10 points	✓	53.4	0.25
		59%	11 points	✓	52.0	0.24
		54%	4 points	✓	59.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.