Western Bulldogs v Richmond
Carrara
7.7
49
13.12
90
Richmond won by 41 points
IN
Lloyd
Trengove
McLean
Young
Weightman
Porter
OUT
IN
Markov
Ross
Stack
Cotchin
Vlastuin
Rioli
Graham
Naish
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 37.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✓ | 31.6 | 0.33 |
|
|
61% | 15 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 33.8 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 39.1 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -0.00 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 41.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 43.6 | -0.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 46.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
71% | 7 points | ✗ | 47.6 | -0.80 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.