Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Carrara
16.7
103
7.9
51
Carlton won by 52 points
IN
Kennedy
Philp
OUT
IN
Butler
Hunter
Crozier
Jong
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 63.3 | -0.44 |
|
|
82% | 24 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -1.47 |
|
|
72% | 16 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.85 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
64% | 8 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.45 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 61.4 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 17 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.33 |
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 59.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 57.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 57.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 55.8 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 56.2 | -0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.