Collingwood v Hawthorn
2020-07-10 19:50:00
Sydney Showground

8.11

59

3.9

27

Collingwood won by 32 points

IN

Kelly

Bosenavulagi

Quaynor

De Goey

Daicos

Brown

OUT

IN

Morris

Day

Patton

Morrison

Burgoyne

Scrimshaw

Lewis

Jones

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		57%	6 points	✓	26.5	0.18
		65%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.38
		62%	8 points	✓	24.0	0.32
		60%	8 points	✓	24.4	0.27
		60%	6 points	✓	26.1	0.26
		59%	11 points	✓	21.2	0.25
		59%	10 points	✓	22.5	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	24.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	25.0	0.24
		58%	6 points	✓	26.4	0.21
Punters		56%	5 points	✓	27.0	0.16
		56%	8 points	✓	24.0	0.16
s10		55%	5 points	✓	27.4	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	28.0	0.10
		52%	1 point	✓	31.2	0.05
		52%	1 point	✗	33.0	-0.05
		60%	8 points	✗	40.0	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.