Essendon v North Melbourne
Carrara
9.13
67
7.11
53
Essendon won by 14 points
IN
McKenna
Merrett
Stringer
Redman
OUT
IN
Campbell
Scott
Ahern
Cunnington
Anderson
Xerri
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.13 | |
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.33 | ||
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.27 | ||
Punters
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.26 | |
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.25 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.22 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.19 | ||
s10
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.17 | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.13 | ||
55% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.1 | 0.13 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.13 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.09 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.06 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.01 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.07 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.