Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Carrara
9.9
63
6.10
46
Port Adelaide won by 17 points
IN
Sutcliffe
Burton
Rockliff
Bonner
OUT
IN
Ward
Sheridan
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.30 | |
74% | 14 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.57 | ||
70% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.47 | ||
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.39 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.33 | ||
s10
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.29 | |
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.29 | ||
59% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.24 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.21 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.14 | ||
Punters
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.06 | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.