Fremantle v St Kilda
Carrara
12.7
79
11.7
73
Fremantle won by 6 points
IN
Colyer
Banfield
Acres
Fyfe
Conca
Hogan
Logue
Sturt
OUT
IN
Jones
Hannebery
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.19 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.57 |
|
Punters
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.50 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.6 | -0.19 |
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.