Melbourne v Gold Coast
Sydney Showground
12.8
80
9.9
63
Melbourne won by 17 points
IN
Bennell
Weideman
McDonald
Jetta
Tomlinson
Hunt
Smith
Rivers
OUT
IN
Rankine
Fiorini
Powell
Rowell
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.33 | |
82% | 19 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.71 | ||
71% | 16 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.50 | ||
70% | 27 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 15 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.46 | ||
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 5.3 | 0.37 | ||
s10
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.36 | |
Punters
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.2 | 0.30 | |
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.26 | ||
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.20 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.16 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.09 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.