Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
2020-07-05 18:10:00
Sydney Showground

13.5

83

7.7

49

Greater Western Sydney won by 34 points

IN

Sheridan

Keeffe

Lloyd

Williams

Ward

Taylor

OUT

IN

Jones

Puopolo

Breust

Hanrahan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		51%	0 points	✗	34.3	-0.02
		65%	9 points	✗	42.8	-0.52
		60%	11 points	✗	45.0	-0.33
		57%	4 points	✗	38.5	-0.23
		57%	6 points	✗	40.0	-0.23
		56%	5 points	✗	39.0	-0.18
		50%	3 points	✓	31.0	0.00
		50%	1 point	✓	33.0	0.01
		50%	1 point	✓	32.6	0.01
s10		50%	1 point	✓	32.7	0.01
		52%	2 points	✓	32.3	0.06
		54%	3 points	✓	31.0	0.10
		54%	4 points	✓	30.0	0.11
		55%	4 points	✓	29.9	0.13
Punters		55%	5 points	✓	29.4	0.13
		57%	7 points	✓	27.0	0.19
		58%	10 points	✓	24.0	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.