Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn

Sydney Showground
13.5
83
7.7
49

Greater Western Sydney won by 34 points

IN
Sheridan
Keeffe
Lloyd
Williams
Ward
Taylor
OUT
IN
Jones
Puopolo
Breust
Hanrahan
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
51% 0 points 34.3-0.02
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
65% 9 points 42.8-0.52
The Arc
Hawthorn
60% 11 points 45.0-0.33
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
57% 4 points 38.5-0.23
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 40.0-0.23
The Flag
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 39.0-0.18
s10
Hawthorn
52% 0 points 34.2-0.06
AFL_GO
Greater Western Sydney
50% 3 points 31.00.00
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
50% 1 point 33.00.01
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
50% 1 point 32.60.01
AFLalytics
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 32.30.06
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
54% 3 points 31.00.10
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
54% 4 points 30.00.11
Stattraction
Greater Western Sydney
55% 4 points 29.90.13
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
55% 5 points 29.40.13
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
57% 7 points 27.00.19
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
58% 10 points 24.00.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2020