Carlton v St Kilda
Marvel Stadium
8.7
55
11.7
73
St Kilda won by 18 points
IN
McKay
Silvagni
OUT
IN
Geary
Jones
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.03 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.24 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.12 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.7 | 0.01 |
|
s10
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | -1 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.09 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.