Collingwood v Essendon
M.C.G.
7.6
48
10.3
63
Essendon won by 15 points
IN
Scharenberg
Varcoe
Treloar
Sidebottom
Howe
Noble
OUT
IN
Hibberd
Laverde
Phillips
Merrett
Bellchambers
Francis
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.90 |
|
|
87% | 26 points | ✗ | 41.3 | -1.96 |
|
|
82% | 16 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -1.46 |
|
|
81% | 24 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -1.43 |
|
|
79% | 21 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
77% | 35 points | ✗ | 49.8 | -1.15 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.99 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.93 |
|
s10
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.92 |
|
Punters
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 32.5 | -0.87 |
|
|
71% | 15 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.77 |
|
|
69% | 22 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.70 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 21 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 28.6 | -0.45 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.