Collingwood v Essendon

M.C.G.

48

63

Match complete
Essendon won by 15 points

IN
Scharenberg
Varcoe
Treloar
Sidebottom
Howe
Noble
OUT
IN
Hibberd
Laverde
Phillips
Merrett
Bellchambers
Francis
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Collingwood
73% 20 points 34.8-0.90
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
87% 26 points 41.3-1.96
AFL Lab
Collingwood
82% 16 points 31.0-1.46
The Flag
Collingwood
81% 24 points 39.0-1.43
AFL_GO
Collingwood
79% 21 points 36.0-1.25
Squiggle
Collingwood
77% 35 points 49.8-1.15
Massey Ratings
Collingwood
75% 22 points 37.0-0.99
AFLalytics
Collingwood
74% 20 points 35.2-0.93
Punters
Collingwood
73% 18 points 32.5-0.87
Stattraction
Collingwood
71% 15 points 30.3-0.77
The Arc
Collingwood
69% 22 points 37.0-0.70
Graft
Collingwood
68% 15 points 30.0-0.64
Live Ladders
Collingwood
67% 13 points 28.0-0.58
Footy Maths Institute
Collingwood
66% 21 points 36.0-0.56
Swinburne
Collingwood
66% 15 points 30.0-0.56
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
63% 14 points 28.6-0.45

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2020