Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne
2020-07-04 19:40:00
Marvel Stadium

13.9

87

5.8

38

Western Bulldogs won by 49 points

IN

Jong

Schache

Wood

Lloyd

Naughton

Butler

OUT

IN

Macmillan

Cunnington

Ziebell

Ahern

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		52%	1 point	✓	47.6	0.07
		67%	12 points	✓	37.0	0.43
		66%	11 points	✓	38.0	0.40
		57%	5 points	✓	44.0	0.18
		56%	2 points	✓	46.8	0.17
s10		54%	3 points	✓	46.2	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	46.0	0.11
Punters		54%	3 points	✓	46.3	0.10
		51%	1 point	✓	48.0	0.03
		50%	0 points	✓	48.9	0.00
		50%	0 points	✓	48.9	0.00
		50%	0 points	✓	48.8	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	50.0	-0.03
		51%	2 points	✗	51.0	-0.03
		53%	3 points	✗	52.0	-0.08
		56%	4 points	✗	53.0	-0.18
		58%	7 points	✗	55.9	-0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.