Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
Gabba
12.13
85
6.12
48
Brisbane Lions won by 37 points
IN
Berry
Martin
Zorko
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
63% | 8 points | ✗ | 44.6 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 15 points | ✗ | 51.9 | -0.42 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 40.9 | -0.12 |
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 40.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.04 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 35.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 35.4 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 34.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
58% | 4 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.