Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide

Gabba

85

48

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 37 points

IN
Berry
Martin
Zorko
Smith
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
52% 2 points 38.9-0.07
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
63% 8 points 44.6-0.44
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
63% 15 points 51.9-0.42
AFL Lab
Port Adelaide
59% 6 points 42.6-0.28
The Flag
Port Adelaide
57% 4 points 41.0-0.21
The Arc
Port Adelaide
55% 6 points 43.0-0.16
Graft
Port Adelaide
55% 5 points 42.0-0.16
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
54% 4 points 40.9-0.12
Live Ladders
Port Adelaide
52% 2 points 39.0-0.06
Massey Ratings
Port Adelaide
51% 2 points 39.0-0.04
Punters
Brisbane Lions
50% 1 point 35.60.01
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
52% 2 points 35.40.05
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
53% 2 points 34.90.08
Swinburne
Brisbane Lions
56% 5 points 32.00.16
Footy Maths Institute
Brisbane Lions
57% 9 points 28.00.19
AFL_GO
Brisbane Lions
58% 4 points 33.00.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 5, 2020