Adelaide v Fremantle
Carrara
4.10
34
8.6
54
Fremantle won by 20 points
IN
Hartigan
Crouch
Himmelberg
McAsey
OUT
IN
Sturt
Duman
Darcy
Fyfe
Matera
Colyer
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.16 |
|
|
65% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.35 |
|
|
61% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.8 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.22 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.22 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.21 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.3 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.