North Melbourne v Carlton
Bellerive Oval
18.8
116
4.6
30
Match complete
North Melbourne won by 86 points
IN
Tarrant
Hrovat
OUT
IN
O'Brien
O'Shea
Graham
Silvagni
Murphy
Lamb
Marchbank
Polson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 10 points | ✓ | 76.3 | 0.26 | |
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 67.0 | 0.53 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 72.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 73.0 | 0.37 | ||
Punters | 64% | ✓ | 0.35 | |||
62% | 14 points | ✓ | 72.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 16 points | ✓ | 70.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 76.0 | 0.28 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 80.5 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 80.0 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.16 | ||
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.14 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 91.0 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.