Adelaide v Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
9.4
58
16.10
106
Match complete
Collingwood won by 48 points
IN
Fogarty
Murphy
OUT
IN
De Goey
Adams
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 31 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -1.17 | |
87% | 35 points | ✗ | 83.0 | -1.92 | ||
83% | 34 points | ✗ | 81.6 | -1.57 | ||
83% | 35 points | ✗ | 83.0 | -1.53 | ||
82% | 33 points | ✗ | 81.0 | -1.48 | ||
Punters | 81% | ✗ | -1.42 | |||
80% | 42 points | ✗ | 90.0 | -1.32 | ||
80% | 39 points | ✗ | 87.0 | -1.32 | ||
79% | 30 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -1.28 | ||
79% | 31 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -1.25 | ||
73% | 34 points | ✗ | 82.0 | -0.89 | ||
69% | 22 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.69 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.