Hawthorn v Melbourne
M.C.G.
18.7
115
6.12
48
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 67 points
IN
Mirra
Glass
Sicily
Langford
Brand
Burton
OUT
IN
Brayshaw
Tyson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 66.0 | 0.02 |
 |
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.34 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.32 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 66.1 | 0.05 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 66.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 67.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 66.0 | 0.00 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.09 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.18 |
| Punters | |
56% | ✗ | -0.19 | ||
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 77.0 | -0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.