Essendon v Port Adelaide

Docklands

106

84

Match complete
Essendon won by 22 points

IN
Guelfi
Hartley
McKenna
Brown
OUT
IN
McKenzie
Amon
Powell-Pepper
Barry
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
58% 9 points 30.6-0.26
HPN
Port Adelaide
73% 21 points 43.0-0.87
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
61% 14 points 36.0-0.36
Swinburne
Port Adelaide
61% 11 points 33.0-0.36
Live Ladders
Port Adelaide
60% 9 points 31.0-0.34
Massey Ratings
Port Adelaide
58% 8 points 30.0-0.26
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
57% 8 points 29.6-0.23
Punters
Port Adelaide
57% -0.22
Stattraction
Port Adelaide
56% 7 points 29.0-0.19
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
56% 8 points 30.0-0.18
The Arc
Port Adelaide
55% 4 points 26.0-0.14
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
52% 3 points 25.0-0.07
Graft
Port Adelaide
51% 2 points 24.0-0.04

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018