Richmond v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
16.14
110
2.5
17
Match complete
Richmond won by 93 points
IN
Caddy
Prestia
Lloyd
Higgins
OUT
IN
Bailey
Beams
Lester
Cox
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 86% | 45 points | ✓ | 48.3 | 0.78 | |
94% | 50 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.92 | ||
92% | 57 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.88 | ||
92% | 50 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.87 | ||
90% | 63 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.85 | ||
90% | 47 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.85 | ||
89% | 44 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.83 | ||
Punters | 87% | ✓ | 0.80 | |||
86% | 51 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.78 | ||
82% | 35 points | ✓ | 58.0 | 0.72 | ||
77% | 40 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 68.0 | 0.61 | ||
74% | 30 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.57 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.