Richmond v Brisbane Lions

M.C.G.

110

17

Match complete
Richmond won by 93 points

IN
Caddy
Prestia
Lloyd
Higgins
OUT
IN
Bailey
Beams
Lester
Cox
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
86% 45 points 48.30.78
Massey Ratings
Richmond
94% 50 points 43.00.92
Swinburne
Richmond
92% 57 points 36.00.88
Live Ladders
Richmond
92% 50 points 43.00.87
Footy Maths Institute
Richmond
90% 63 points 30.00.85
The Arc
Richmond
90% 47 points 46.00.85
Matter of Stats
Richmond
89% 44 points 49.00.83
Punters
Richmond
87% 0.80
Squiggle
Richmond
86% 51 points 42.00.78
Graft
Richmond
82% 35 points 58.00.72
PlusSixOne
Richmond
77% 40 points 53.00.62
HPN
Richmond
76% 25 points 68.00.61
Stattraction
Richmond
74% 30 points 63.00.57

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018