Greater Western Sydney v Fremantle
UNSW Canberra Oval
11.16
82
7.9
51
Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 31 points
IN
Simpson
Griffen
Greene
Kelly
Lobb
Perryman
OUT
IN
Tucker
Langdon
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 80% | 34 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.68 | |
89% | 39 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.83 | ||
86% | 41 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.78 | ||
85% | 38 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.77 | ||
85% | 38 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.77 | ||
84% | 34 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.74 | ||
Punters | 81% | ✓ | 0.70 | |||
81% | 41 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.70 | ||
80% | 41 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 27 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.65 | ||
72% | 32 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.53 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.52 | ||
69% | 23 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.47 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.