Geelong v St Kilda

GMHBA Stadium
15.13
103
7.14
56

Match complete
Geelong won by 47 points

IN
Cunico
Murdoch
Stanley
Duncan
Ablett
Guthrie
Cockatoo
Parsons
OUT
IN
Lonie
Hickey
Gilbert
Steele
Bruce
Armitage
Webster
Wright
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
71% 22 points 25.10.50
Swinburne
Geelong
85% 41 points 6.00.77
Massey Ratings
Geelong
82% 29 points 18.00.71
Live Ladders
Geelong
77% 25 points 22.00.62
The Arc
Geelong
77% 26 points 21.00.62
Punters
Geelong
75% 0.58
Squiggle
Geelong
73% 29 points 18.00.55
Matter of Stats
Geelong
73% 21 points 25.70.54
Graft
Geelong
68% 17 points 30.00.44
PlusSixOne
Geelong
67% 24 points 23.00.42
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
66% 20 points 27.00.40
Stattraction
Geelong
57% 8 points 39.00.19
HPN
Geelong
51% 1 point 46.00.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2018