Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
2026-08-22 20:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

24.13

157

15.11

101

Adelaide won by 56 points

IN

Walker

Neal-Bullen

Milera

Peatling

Ah Chee

Murray

OUT

IN

O'Halloran

Angove

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	17 points	✓	38.8	0.49
Aggregate		68%	16 points	✓	39.8	0.44
		80%	30 points	✓	26.4	0.68
Punters		80%	27 points	✓	29.4	0.67
		79%	24 points	✓	32.1	0.65
		77%	26 points	✓	30.0	0.62
		73%	20 points	✓	36.4	0.55
		71%	17 points	✓	38.5	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	36.1	0.50
		71%	18 points	✓	38.0	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	37.0	0.49
		70%	16 points	✓	40.1	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	39.7	0.47
		69%	13 points	✓	43.4	0.46
		69%	15 points	✓	41.4	0.46
		69%	12 points	✓	44.5	0.45
		68%	23 points	✓	33.0	0.44
		67%	10 points	✓	46.0	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	41.3	0.43
		67%	20 points	✓	36.0	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	40.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	41.1	0.42
		66%	13 points	✓	42.6	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	43.0	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	36.8	0.37
		64%	10 points	✓	46.0	0.37
		63%	13 points	✓	42.8	0.32
		60%	11 points	✓	45.0	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	48.0	0.24
		57%	10 points	✓	45.9	0.18
		54%	3 points	✓	53.0	0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.