Geelong v Richmond
2026-08-22 19:45:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

20.13

133

11.10

76

Geelong won by 57 points

IN

Martin

De Koning

Cameron

Blicavs

Worpel

Wiltshire

OUT

IN

Ryan

Gray

McAuliffe

Rioli

Prestia

Broad

Lalor

Armstrong

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		96%	60 points	✓	2.9	0.94
Aggregate		94%	58 points	✓	1.2	0.91
		100%	74 points	✓	17.2	1.00
		99%	70 points	✓	12.7	0.98
		99%	59 points	✓	1.9	0.98
		99%	63 points	✓	5.5	0.98
Punters		98%	71 points	✓	13.6	0.97
		97%	60 points	✓	2.5	0.96
		97%	61 points	✓	3.8	0.95
		96%	62 points	✓	4.8	0.95
		96%	58 points	✓	0.7	0.95
		96%	66 points	✓	9.4	0.95
		96%	58 points	✓	1.4	0.94
		96%	65 points	✓	7.8	0.94
		96%	68 points	✓	11.2	0.94
		95%	64 points	✓	7.0	0.93
		95%	62 points	✓	5.0	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	1.4	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	13.0	0.93
		95%	61 points	✓	4.1	0.92
		94%	45 points	✓	12.4	0.91
		94%	59 points	✓	1.7	0.91
		94%	53 points	✓	4.0	0.91
		94%	48 points	✓	9.0	0.91
		92%	47 points	✓	10.0	0.88
		91%	46 points	✓	11.0	0.86
		90%	57 points	✓	0.2	0.85
		89%	59 points	✓	2.0	0.83
		88%	57 points	✓	0.3	0.82
		88%	44 points	✓	13.0	0.82
		79%	51 points	✓	6.2	0.67

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.