Carlton v Fremantle
Docklands
18.11
119
12.10
82
Carlton won by 37 points
IN
Young
Hollands
Haynes
Hayward
OUT
IN
Murray
Banfield
McVee
Switkowski
Chapman
Amiss
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 47.4 | -0.41 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 47.4 | -0.36 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 57.5 | -0.81 |
|
|
70% | 14 points | ✗ | 50.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 55.1 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.66 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 52.7 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 48.7 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 10 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -0.52 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 48.6 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 49.6 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.5 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.2 | -0.28 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 45.6 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.3 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 43.1 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.8 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 11 points | ✗ | 47.8 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 41.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.8 | -0.06 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 31.2 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.