Collingwood v Brisbane Lions
M.C.G.
15.6
96
25.9
159
Brisbane Lions won by 63 points
IN
Sidebottom
Howe
Quaynor
Howes
OUT
IN
Gallop
Annable
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 56.9 | 0.20 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 57.6 | 0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✓ | 41.9 | 0.51 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.51 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 48.1 | 0.44 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.42 |
|
|
65% | 10 points | ✓ | 53.2 | 0.37 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 55.1 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 55.1 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 54.1 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 55.8 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 57.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 56.7 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 58.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 58.3 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 57.7 | 0.17 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 59.5 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 57.9 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 61.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 60.4 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 62.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 63.6 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 63.8 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 63.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.