Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
12.15
87
16.12
108
Western Bulldogs won by 21 points
IN
Lindsay
van Rooyen
OUT
IN
Gardner
Budarick
Dale
Bontempelli
Liberatore
Croft
Jaques
Emmett
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.84 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.65 |
|
|
79% | 21 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.24 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 47.7 | -1.18 |
|
|
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 46.9 | -1.10 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 43.8 | -1.08 |
|
|
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -1.01 |
|
|
75% | 20 points | ✗ | 40.8 | -0.99 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -0.98 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.93 |
|
|
73% | 21 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -0.90 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 40.4 | -0.85 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 39.2 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 15 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 14 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
69% | 21 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.70 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.1 | -0.59 |
|
|
63% | 16 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.32 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.16 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.00 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.