Fremantle v Adelaide
2026-08-14 20:10:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

16.16

112

13.10

88

Fremantle won by 24 points

IN

Scerri

Pearce

Reid

McVee

OUT

IN

Murray

Borlase

Nankervis

McAndrew

Fogarty

Soligo

Neal-Bullen

Walker

O'Brien

Dowling

Ryan

Ludowyke

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		76%	23 points	✓	0.9	0.61
Aggregate		75%	23 points	✓	1.2	0.58
		88%	41 points	✓	16.5	0.82
		84%	25 points	✓	0.6	0.75
		82%	31 points	✓	7.0	0.71
		82%	27 points	✓	2.8	0.71
		81%	28 points	✓	3.7	0.70
		80%	28 points	✓	4.0	0.68
		79%	29 points	✓	5.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	1.8	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	3.5	0.64
		78%	20 points	✓	4.5	0.63
Punters		77%	23 points	✓	0.8	0.62
		77%	23 points	✓	1.2	0.62
		76%	19 points	✓	4.8	0.61
		75%	24 points	✓	0.4	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	2.1	0.58
		73%	22 points	✓	1.6	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	3.8	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	4.0	0.53
		72%	28 points	✓	4.0	0.52
		72%	15 points	✓	9.2	0.52
		71%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.51
		70%	16 points	✓	8.0	0.49
		70%	32 points	✓	8.0	0.49
		70%	15 points	✓	8.9	0.48
		69%	21 points	✓	2.9	0.47
		68%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	9.6	0.43
		67%	5 points	✓	19.0	0.42
		66%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.