Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast @ Gabba

14.11

6.17

Brisbane Lions won by 42 points

Addinsall

Collins

Uwland

Farrar

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	82%	30 points	✓	12.0	0.71
Aggregate	77%	27 points	✓	15.0	0.63
	91%	40 points	✓	2.0	0.86
	91%	36 points	✓	5.9	0.86
	88%	35 points	✓	7.5	0.81
	87%	31 points	✓	10.9	0.79
	86%	39 points	✓	3.0	0.78
Punters	84%	33 points	✓	9.5	0.74
	83%	31 points	✓	11.4	0.74
	82%	30 points	✓	12.5	0.70
	81%	24 points	✓	18.0	0.70
	81%	28 points	✓	14.4	0.69
	79%	27 points	✓	14.9	0.66
	79%	28 points	✓	13.7	0.66
	79%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.66
	79%	27 points	✓	15.4	0.66
	78%	24 points	✓	18.0	0.64
	76%	25 points	✓	16.5	0.61
	76%	27 points	✓	14.7	0.61
	76%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.60
	76%	32 points	✓	9.8	0.60
	73%	21 points	✓	21.0	0.55
	73%	26 points	✓	16.1	0.55
	72%	18 points	✓	24.0	0.53
	72%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.53
	72%	21 points	✓	20.8	0.53
	71%	17 points	✓	25.0	0.51
	71%	34 points	✓	7.7	0.51
	71%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.51
	67%	23 points	✓	19.0	0.41
	52%	2 points	✓	40.0	0.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.