Hawthorn v Collingwood

M.C.G.
13.14
92
13.14
92

Match Drawn

IN
Beattie
Macdonald
Reeves
Butler
OUT
IN
De Goey
Pendlebury
Sidebottom
Sullivan
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
s10
Hawthorn
70% 17 points ✓16.7-0.12
Aggregate
Hawthorn
64% 12 points ✓12.1-0.06
In The Game
Hawthorn
85% 30 points ✓29.6-0.50
Wheelo Ratings
Hawthorn
77% 24 points ✓24.1-0.26
Punters
Hawthorn
74% 20 points ✓20.3-0.19
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
73% 22 points ✓22.0-0.17
Drop Kick Data
Hawthorn
72% 18 points ✓17.9-0.16
The Cruncher
Hawthorn
71% 16 points ✓16.5-0.14
Winnable
Hawthorn
71% 17 points ✓17.0-0.14
HBin
Hawthorn
70% 14 points ✓13.8-0.13
Don't Blame the Data
Hawthorn
70% 14 points ✓13.9-0.12
Glicko Ratings
Hawthorn
70% 18 points ✓17.6-0.12
AFL Scorigami
Hawthorn
68% 16 points ✓16.0-0.11
What Snoo Thinks
Hawthorn
68% 15 points ✓14.8-0.10
Stattraction
Hawthorn
68% 16 points ✓16.2-0.10
Cheap Stats
Hawthorn
67% 20 points ✓20.0-0.09
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
67% 11 points ✓10.5-0.08
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
65% 17 points ✓17.1-0.07
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
63% 11 points ✓10.7-0.05
Squiggle
Hawthorn
59% 7 points ✓7.2-0.02
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
58% 7 points ✓6.6-0.02
Informed Stats
Hawthorn
58% 8 points ✓8.0-0.02
footycharts
Hawthorn
57% 6 points ✓6.2-0.02
Hyperion
Hawthorn
57% 4 points ✓4.0-0.01
The Wooden Finger
Hawthorn
56% 6 points ✓6.0-0.01
The Footycast
Hawthorn
53% 4 points ✓3.6-0.00
Graft
Hawthorn
53% 5 points ✓5.0-0.00
Holy Grail Ratings
Hawthorn
53% 4 points ✓3.9-0.00
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
53% 1 point ✓0.9-0.00
Elo Predicts!
Hawthorn
52% 1 point ✓1.0-0.00
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
51% 1 point ✓1.0-0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2026